#11 Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

EMAILED ON January 26, 2020

#11 Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball


GAME:  #839 Michigan State vs #840 Minnesota    
TIME:    1/26/2020 – 4:00p EST
SPREAD:   Michigan State -3
TOTAL:      140.5
SPORTSBOOK:  BetOnline.ag

The #11 Michigan State Spartans (14-5, 6-2) have their 2nd-straight BIG 10 Conference road game against the Minnesota Golden Gophers (11-8, 5-4) at Williams Arena in Minneapolis on Sunday at 3 p.m. EST. In their last game, Minnesota won on the road against Ohio State by a score of 62-59 while the Spartans had a tough road loss at Indiana by a score of 63-67. These teams met on January 9th at Michigan State with the Spartans winning easily by a score of 74-58. Michigan State will be looking for its third straight win over Minnesota at Williams Arena. Minnesota’s last win at home against the Spartans came on Dec. 31, 2012.


The #11 Michigan State Spartans are averaging 77 points per game on 46% field goal shooting adding 7.4 three-pointers and 10.2 offensive rebounds while turning the ball over only 12 times per game. The Spartans are allowing 63 points per game on 37% field goal shooting while forcing 11.4 turnovers and adding 5.9 steals and 3.6 blocks on the defensive end.  Michigan State is led by Cassius Winston with 18 points, 6 assists and 1.3 steals per game along with Xavier Tillman whos adding 13.7 points, 10 rebounds, 2 blocks, and three assists per game.


The Minnesota Golden Gophers are averaging 72 points per game on 43% field goal shooting adding 8.2 threes and 9.4 offensive rebounds per game. Minnesota is allowing 66 points per game on 41% field-goal shooting while forcing 11 turnovers and adding 5.8 steals and 3.3 blocks on defense. Minnesota is led by Daniel Oturu with 19.7 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 2.7 blocks per game along with Marcus Carr adding  16.3 points 5.3 rebounds in 6.9 assists per game.


The focus on this game is going to be defense for both teams which will make this a lower than usual scoring game. Cassius Winston will be able to keep Marcus Carr from putting up his usual numbers while Xavier Tillman will be able to do the same against Oturu. Michigan State is 10-0 when holding opponents to 65 points or fewer and Michigan State has held opposing teams to 37% shooting which is the lowest percentage among all Big Ten teams.  Michigan State will be hungry for a win after the loss at Indiana and you can expect Tom Izzo to have his boys prepared for this game and with only 2 days rest for both teams, Michigan State will be ready to pull off a big win and cover the spread.  

TRENDS(from covers.com)


  • Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Spartans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.


  • Over is 6-1 in Golden Gophers last 7 home games.
  • Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.


  • Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.


Bookie Analysis:  Michigan St. -3 / Under 140.5
Fade the Public:   no data / no data
Sharp Action:       no data / no data
Bet This Game at BetOnline.ag 

#11 Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

#11 Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball
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