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Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON April 28, 2021

Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays – MLB Baseball Prediction

MLB 2021 Record

Sides:  18-6 =  +13.78 Units
Totals:  12-12 =  -0.86 Units
Combined:   30-18 = +12.92 Units

GAME:  #929 Nationals @ #930 Blue Jays
DATE:     4/28/2021 – 7:07p EST
ODDS:   Nationals +150 / Blue Jays -160
O/U:       9.5 -110 / -110

The Toronto Blue Jays (11-11) host the Washington Nationals (8-12) at TD Ballpark on Wednesday at 7:07 pm EST. The Nationals lost to the Blue Jays on Tuesday by a score of 5-9. The Nationals have righty Erik Fedde(1-2, 5.51 ERA) getting the start against the Blue Jays lefty Steven Matz (4-0, 2.31 ERA).

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

TD Ballpark is not listed at the Weather Analyzer because it is a temporary home field for the Toronto Blue Jays.

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

WASHINGTON

  • Over is 6-0-1 in Feddes last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-0-1 in Feddes last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.

TORONTO

  • Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home favorite.
  • The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Matz’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Matz’s last 4 starts.
  • Under is 8-1 in Blue Jays last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Nationals are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.

 

NATIONALS VS BLUE JAYS PREDICTION

The Nationals have a team batting average of .301 against left-handed pitching this season. With left-hander Matz on the mound, there should be a fair amount of offense considering the Nationals have a career team batting average of .272 against Matz as well. The Blue Jays have had a fair amount of success against Fedde in the past but as a team, Toronto is only hitting .224 against right-handed pitching this season. Even without Soto in the lineup, there are plenty of bats available to get the job done. There is good value here with the Nationals getting the + money. 

The Bookie:         Nationals +150 / Under 9.5 -110 (Listed Pitchers)
Fade the Public Nationals / Under
Sharp Action:       Nationals / Under

 

 

 

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