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SMU vs. UNLV – NCAA Basketball Prediction

EMAILED ON November 23, 2019

SMU vs. UNLV – NCAA Basketball Prediction

unlv-smu

Game:     (645) SMU (4-0) vs. (646) UNLV (2-4) 
Time:       Sat. 11/23  10:30 PM EST at Thomas & Mack Center
Spread:   SMU -1.5 
Total:       128
Odds from:  5Dimes Sportsbook 

The SMU Mustangs head to Las Vegas to take on UNLV Runnin Rebels. These teams haven’t faced each other since 2009.  SMU won their last game out against Evansville 59 to 57 while UNLV lost their last game out to Texas State by score a 57 to 64.

SMU MUSTANGS

The Mustangs average 72 points per game while holding their opponents to only 62 points per game. The Mustangs offense shoots 44% from the field and 30% from three-point land they average 13 offensive rebounds per game and five steals per game.  The Mustangs are committing 14 turnovers per game. SMU holds their opponents to only 37% from the field and 24% from 3-point. 

UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS

The Running Rebels average 66 points per game and hold their opponents to an average of 67 points per game. The Runnin’ Rebels shoot 43% from the field and 33% from 3.  UNLV also turns the ball over 15 times per game. 

MATCHUP SUMMARY – smu vs unlv prediction

Both of these teams can score a lot of points with the total sitting at only 124 that tells me this is going to be a low-scoring game. These two teams turning the ball over a lot and both like to pressure the ball this could be an ugly game. The winner of this game is a toss-up but you can expect a low-scoring grind-it-out ball game down to the final minutes. 

TRENDS

SOUTHERN METHODIST:

  • Over is 7-2 in SMU last 9 road games.
  • Over is 14-5 in SMU last 19 non-conference games.
  • SMU are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 Sat. games.

UNLV:

  • Under is 7-1 in UNLV last 8 overall.
  • UNLV are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Sat. games.

BETTING ANGLES:

Data Analysis:   SMU -1.5 / Under 128 
Fade the Public:  UNLV +1.5 / Over 128
Sharp Action:  UNLV +1.5  / Under 128

SMU vs. UNLV – NCAA Basketball Prediction
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