GAME:  #859 Purdue vs #860 Michigan St.
TIME:    1/8/2021 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD:   Michigan St -4.5
TOTAL:      143

The Purdue Boilermakers (7-5) have a BIG 10 road battle against the #23 Michigan State Spartans (8-3) at the Jack Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan on Friday at 7 p.m. EST. Purdue lost 58-66 at Illinois in their previous outing and the Spartans pounded Rutgers by a score of 68-45. These teams met once last season when Purdue crushed the Spartans by a score of 71-42. Tom Izzo has had this game circled after that embarrassing loss. 

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

The Purdue Boilermakers are another team that plays much worse on the road compared to at home so we are going to use the road stats. Purdue is averaging 60.8 points per game on 40.8% field goal shooting adding 6.5 threes but shooting only 28.3% from Deep. The Boilermakers are allowing 68.8 points per game on 46% field goal shooting and 7.8 three-pointers on 33.7% shooting per game from their opponents on the defensive end.

MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 82.6 points per game on 48.8% field goal shooting and 9.1 3-pointers on 41% three-point field goal shooting percentage per game on offense. Michigan State is allowing 70.7 points per game on 41% field goal shooting while forcing 10 turnovers and adding eight Steals and three blocks per game and defensive end. 

TRENDS

PURDUE

• Under is 4-0 in Boilermakers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Boilermakers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Boilermakers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

MICHIGAN STATE

• Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• The Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

HEAD TO HEAD

• The home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
• The favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

PURDUE vs MICHIGAN STATE PREDICTION

The Spartans had a few bad losses but proved against Rutgers that they have enough talent to beat some of the best teams. The biggest change is at the point guard position which proved to be a great decision and should continue to help reduce the number of turnovers that have plagued the Spartans. Last season at Purdue, the Boilermakers straight pounded the Spartans by almost 30 points in a game that Coach Izzo won’t forget. It was one of his worst losses and most humiliating of his career and you can count on some payback taking place. The Spartans are about to turn the corner and go on a run as they do every year around this time. The Bookie is backing the Spartans to shut down the Purdue offense to cover the spread in a game that goes Under the total.

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:         Mich St -4.5 / Under 143
Fade the Public:  Purdue / Over
Sharp Action:      Mich St / Under