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Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON July 11, 2021

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox – MLB Baseball Prediction

phillies style

GAME:   #929 Phillies @ #930 Red Sox
DATE:     7/11/2021 – 1:10 p EST
ODDS:    Phillies +105 / Red Sox -115
O/U:        9.5 -105 / -115

The Boston Red Sox (55-35) hosts the Philadelphia Phillies (43-44) at Fenway Park on Sunday at 1:10 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

PHILADELPHIA

  • The Over is 7-0 in Phillies’ last 7 overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • The Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

BOSTON

  • The Over is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 interleague games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. National League East.
  • The Red Sox are 4-0 in Pivetta’s last 4 Sunday starts.
  • The Red Sox are 4-0 in Pivetta’s last 4 interleague starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • The Phillies are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Boston.
  • The Phillies are 19-39 in the last 58 meetings.


PHILLIES VS RED SOX PREDICTION

Pivetta is having a good season but the Phillies’ Nola is having a much better season. The Phillies offense has been rolling, scoring 24 runs in the last 3 games while giving up only 13. The Phillies bullpen has not blown a game in over a week which is a good sign for this team even though you can expect Nola to go deep into this game. The Red Sox are one the best teams in the MLB but they have lost 3 of the last 4 games scoring only 20 runs and averaging just over 4 runs per game in the last 6. The Phillies opened as +115 dogs and even with over 70% of the tickets coming in on Boston the line has dropped down to +105 indicating the sharps are pounding the Phillies today. With these 2 pitchers on the mound, you would expect a low-scoring game. However, with the ability of these teams’ offense and playing in Fenway, we could see another Over in this one.   Update:  NOLA was just scratched so now the Play is on the RED SOX.

 

The Bookie:          Red Sox -115 / Over 9.5 -105
Fade the Public Phillies / Over
Sharp Action:       Phillies / Over

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox – MLB Baseball Prediction
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