Penn State vs Wisconsin Prediction – College Basketball Pick, Odds, & Analysis

EMAILED ON February 2, 2021

Penn State vs Wisconsin Prediction – College Basketball Pick, Odds, & Analysis


GAME:  #621 Penn St. vs #622 Wisconsin
TIME:    2/2/2021 – 8:30p EST
SPREAD:   Wisconsin -8
TOTAL:      138.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions (6-7, 3-6) have a BIG 10 road game against the #19 Wisconsin Badgers (13-5, 7-4) at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin on Tuesday at 7 p.m. EST. In their previous game, Wisconsin lost 81-71 at Penn State on Saturday. Penn State has won two of its five games against ranked teams this season. 


The Penn State Nittany Lions are averaging 77 points per game on 43% field goal shooting adding nine 3-pointers on 36% three-point shooting. The Nittany Lions are allowing 76 points per game on 47% field-goal shooting while forcing 14.5 turnovers and adding 5.2 steals and 4.2 blocks per game on the defensive end. Penn State is led by Myreon Jones who’s averaging 15.8 points, 2.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists, and 1.5 steals per game.


The Wisconsin Badgers are averaging 71 points on 43% field-goal shooting while adding 8.5 threes on 37% three-point shooting per game on offense.  The Badgers are allowing only 62 points per game on 40% field goal shooting while forcing 11 turnovers and adding 4.2 steals and 3.6 blocks per game on defense. The Wisconsin Badgers are led by D’mitrik Trice who is averaging 14.1 points, 3.8 assists, and 1 steal per game.




  • Over is 4-0 in Nittany Lions last 4 games following an ATS win.
  • Over is 6-2 in Nittany Lions last 8 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Nittany Lions last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 5-2 in Nittany Lions last 7 Tuesday games.


  • Under is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 games following an ATS loss.
  • Badgers are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight-up loss.
  • Badgers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Badger’s last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.


  • Underdog is 17-4 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
  • The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.



This is a great opportunity for Wisconsin to bounce back at home after losing to Penn State over the weekend. The Badgers played uncharacteristically and made some silly mistakes that won’t happen in this game. Wisconsin is a tough defensive team, especially on their home court. Penn State has lost its last five road games, scoring 71.8 points, while allowing 78.2 per game. The steady Wisconsin defense has held opponents to 62.8 points per game, the 25th-lowest mark in Division I. Penn State has allowed an average of 76.3 points through 13 games (ranking the Nittany Lions 268th). Wisconsin is ranked 15th in scoring defense & 46th for defensive FG%. Penn State is just 1-5 on the road this season, so you can expect that trend to continue as well. The Bookie is taking the Wisconsin Badgers to bounce back and cover the spread with a much better offensive performance.


The Bookie:         Wisconsin -8 / Over 138.5
Fade the PublicPenn St.  / Under
Sharp Action:      Wisconsin / Over

Penn State vs Wisconsin Prediction – College Basketball Pick, Odds, & Analysis
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