GAME: #911 Mets @ #912 Nationals
DATE: 8/4/2020 – 7:05p EST
ODDS: Mets +135 / Nationals -145
O/U: 8.5
The New York Mets (4-7) head to Nationals Park to face the Washington Nationals (3-4) in a 2 game National League East division series. The Nationals have not played since July 30th when they beat Toronto 6-4. The Mets just won their first of their last 6 games against the Braves on Monday. The Mets have lefty Steven Matz starting and the Nationals have lefty Patrick Corbin getting the nod.
WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)
NEW YORK METS
Steven Matz starts today for the Mets, he’s a lefty with a 3.18 ERA on the season. Matz is 0-1 on the season but has 10 strikeouts and a 1.15 WHIP. The Mets have a career team batting average of .208 against Corbin with Michael Conforto leading the way with a .368.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Left-hander Patrick Corbin is on the bump for the Nationals today. Corbin has a 1.42 ERA in his first game with a 0.32 WHIP. Corbin threw 6 innings and gave up only 2 hits and 1 run in his season debut. The Nationals have a team career batting average of .250 against the Mets pitcher, Steven Matz with several players batting over .300. The Nationals are also hopeful to have Juan Soto back in the lineup today as well.
BATTER VS PITCHER (dailybaseballdata.com)
STARTING LINEUPS (baseballpress.com)
Not available at this time.
INJURY REPORT (covers.com)
TRENDS (covers.com)
METS
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 0-7 in Matz’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
NATIONALS
- Over is 4-0-1 in Corbins last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Corbins last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Corbins last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Washington.
- Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
- Mets are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
The Nationals have been anxiously waiting to play after their mediocre start to the season. You can bet they will be ready to play today and will appreciate seeing a familiar face on the mound. Corbin threw a great game against the Yankees and he should be able to handle the Mets much better. The weather is expected to clear up by game time but it could be a factor. If starting pitchers have to come out early, the Nationals bullpen is 100% rested and ready to go. The Mets are coming off a win but have still lost 7 of their last 10 games. Juan Soto will be ready to get his first hit of the season as well today to help this Nationals offense.
The Bookie is rolling with the hungry Nationals today. The public is on the same side as well as the Sharps. The Bookie is taking them on the alternate run line of -1 to get better value.
The Bookie: Nationals -1
Fade the Public: Mets
Sharp Action: Nationals
2.2 Units to win 2 Units on: (#912) Nationals -1 -110