MLB Playoff Picks for 10/7

EMAILED ON October 7, 2022

MLB Playoff Picks for 10/7

⚾ MLB Betting

12:07 PM Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians

: +105
Guardians: -115
: 6.5

The Cleveland Guardians enter the postseason winning 24 of their last 30 games while Tampa Bay enters the postseason with losses in 9 of their last 11 games. The Guardians won 4 of the 6 meetings against Tampa Bay in the regular season. Cleveland will be starting right-hander Shane Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA) and he will be opposed by Tampa Bay left-hander Shane McClanahan (12-8, 2.54). Bieber finished the regular season going 5-0 in his past 6 outings but in that stretch was a no-decision against the Rays on Sept. 27 when he allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings. Overall, Bieber is 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA in six career appearances versus Tampa Bay. Bieber struggled in his only career playoff outing in 2020, yielding seven runs on nine hits in a wild-card loss to the New York Yankees. McClanahan struggled in his only career outing against Cleveland when he gave up 5 runs on 7 hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-3 loss on July 31.

The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round games.

The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.

The Rays are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Cleveland.

The Guardians are 0-8 in their last 8 playoff games.

The Bookie: Rays +105

2:07 PM Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals

: -105
: -105
: 7

The Phillies will make their 1st postseason appearance since 2011 and after dominating the St. Louis Cardinals during the regular season, Philadelphia Phillies right-hander Zack Wheeler will get the start. Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) is making 1st first ever career playoff start in Game 1 of the National League Wild Card Series in St. Louis. Wheeler defeated the Cardinals twice this season while throwing 14 scoreless innings. He struck out 10 batters, walked 2 and allowed 9 hits in those games. Wheeler is 3-2, with a 2.65 ERA in 6 career starts against the Cardinals. The Cardinals will be going with Jose Quintana (6-7, 2.93 ERA) for Game 1 of the series and he threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings against the Phillies this season and he is 0-1 with a 2.90 ERA in 7 career starts against them. After coming to the Cardinals from the Pittsburgh Pirates before the trade deadline, Quintana went 3-2 with a 2.01 ERA in 12 starts.

The Cardinals are 40-17 in their last 57 home games.

The Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.

The Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Cardinals are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a loss.

The Bookie: Cardinals -105

4:07 PM Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays

: +110
Blue Jays
: -130
: 7

This will be the first trip to the playoffs for Seattle since 2001 and the Mariners and the Blue Jays will meet in the postseason for the first time ever. Toronto will start right-hander Alek Manoah (16-7, 2.24 ERA) in the opener of the best-of-three wild-card series while the Mariners will open with right-hander Luis Castillo (8-6, 2.99). The Blue Jays (92-70) took the first AL wild-card spot to earn home-field advantage for all games in the series and the last time the teams met, the Mariners (90-72) swept a 4-game series from the visiting Blue Jays in July. The Blue Jays were swept in 2 games in the 2020 wild-card series by the Tampa Bay Rays and they lost in the American League Championship Series in 2015 and 2016. Castillo has faced Toronto once in his career, allowing 2 runs, 7 hits and striking out 5 without a walk in 6 innings and took the loss at on May 20 when he was with the Cincinnati Reds. He was traded to the Mariners on July 29. Castillo is 4-2 with a 3.17 ERA in 11 starts with Seattle. Manoah lost his only career start to Seattle when he allowed 2 runs and 3 hits in 7 1/3 innings on July 9.

The Mariners are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.

The Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games on turf.

The Blue Jays are 16-5 in their last 21 games following an off day.

The Blue Jays are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Bookie: Blue Jays -130

8:07 PM San Diego Padres @ New York Mets

: +125
: -145
: 6

The Mets and Padres are about to begin a 3-game series in the National League wild-card series. The Mets have Max Scherzer (11-5, 2.29 ERA) scheduled to start against the Padres Yu Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA). The Mets (101-61) earned the top wild card in the NL and are in the playoffs and the Padres (89-73) are the 5th seed after finishing 2nd in the NL West. The Padres went 4-2 this season against the Mets but are a much different team than the last time they squared off since San Diego acquired closer Josh Hader and superstar outfielder Juan Soto. Scherzer is 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA in 17 career starts against the Padres but he took the loss in his only meeting this season with San Diego on July 22, when he allowed 2 runs over 6 innings as host New York fell, 4-1. Scherzer is 7-6 with a 3.22 ERA and one save in 26 postseason games. Darvish is 5-0 with a 2.56 ERA in 8 starts against the Mets, including 2-0 with an 0.64 ERA in 2 starts this season. He outdueled Scherzer on July 22, when Darvish allowed 1 run over 7 innings. Darvish is 2-5 with a 5.18 ERA in 7 postseason starts.

The Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 playoff road games.

The Padres are 3-10 in their last 13 playoff games.

The Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League West.

The Mets are 38-14 in their last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Bookie: Mets -145


MLB Playoff Picks for 10/7
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