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MLB Picks & Analysis for 9/28

EMAILED ON September 28, 2022

MLB Picks & Analysis for 9/28

⚾ MLB Betting

9:40 PM LA Dodgers @ San Diego Padres

Dodgers
: -135
Padres
: +115
Total
: 7.5

The Padres won Tuesday night with a 4-3, 10-inning, walk-off win and now have a chance to win their first series against the Dodgers this season. They now lead the Phillies by 2 1/2 games in the race for the second National League wild-card spot and they are 4 games ahead of the Brewers in the race for the final spot. The Dodgers will be starting left-hander Julio Urias (17-7, 2.25 ERA) and he will face the Padres right-hander Joe Musgrove (10-7, 3.12). The Dodgers are 20-9 in Urias’ starts this year and they are 5-0 over his past 5 starts. Urias is 14-1 over his past 17 starts, and the Dodgers are 16-1. Against the Padres this season, he’s 3-0 in 3 starts with a 2.00 ERA. In his career, Urias is 6-1 in 14 games with a 2.43 ERA against the Padres. The Padres will counter with Musgrove. In his past two starts, Musgrove has given up 1 run on 9 hits and 2 walks with 12 strikeouts in 11 innings. Musgrove has struggled against the Dodgers this season, losing both of his starts and having a 5.11 ERA. He has given up 7 runs on 11 hits with 15 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings including 4 home runs. In his career, Musgrove is 0-6 with a 4.50 ERA in 11 outings against Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are 8-1 in Urias’ last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Dodgers are 22-2 in Urias’ last 24 starts during game 2 of a series.

The Dodgers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in San Diego.

The Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Bookie: Dodgers -135

🔪 SHARP ALERTS

MLB Picks & Analysis for 9/28
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