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MLB Picks & Analysis for 7/1

EMAILED ON July 1, 2022

MLB Picks & Analysis for 7/1

2:20 PM Boston Red Sox @ Chicago Cubs

Red Sox
: -140
Cubs
: +120
Total
: 8.5

The Cubs welcome the Red Sox back to Wrigley Field for the first time since 2012 for this series. The Red Sox went 20-6 in June and posted a +44 run differential while hitting 24 homers. Their starting pitchers had a 2.91 ERA. Boston will be going with left-hander Rich Hill (4-4. 4.09 ERA) who is an ex-Cub, went 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 5 June starts. The gave up 5 hits and 4 walks with 1 run over 6 innings in a 8-3 victory at Cleveland in his last outing. Hill, 3-1 with a 2.50 ERA in 8 2022 road starts and he last faced the Cubs in September 2020 with the Minnesota Twins, when he allowed 1 run and 3 hits over 7 innings of a 1-0 loss. The Cubs will be going with right-hander Adrian Sampson (0-0, 1.69 ERA) who will make his second consecutive start after he allowed 2 4 four hits and 2 walks with 5 strikeouts over 5 innings against the Cardinals on Saturday. Sampson has allowed 10 runs and 15 hits, including 6 homers, over 9 2/3 innings in 2 career starts against the Red Sox but hasn’t faced them since 2019.

⚾Boston’s Rafael Devers (.328) and Xander Bogaerts (.326) are a combined 4 for 8 with a homer each against Sampson.

⚾The Cubs are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

⚾The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

⚾The Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

The Bookie: Red Sox

8:10 PM Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

D’Backs: +100
Rockies
: -120
Total
: 11.5

The Diamondbacks and the Rockies open up a 3-game divisional series tonight in Denver. Arizona is coming off of a series split with the Padres and the Rockies almost swept the Dodgers but took the series 2-1. The D’Backs will be starting right-hander Merrill Kelly (6-5, 3.64 ERA) who got a loss in his last outing against the Tigers when he allowed 4 runs on 7 hits and a walk over 6 innings. The Rockies will counter with right-hander Antonio Senzatela (3-4, 4.66 ERA) and he was roughed up for 4 earned runs on 8 hits and 2 walks over 5 innings against the Twins in a loss.

⚾Kelly has a 8.15 ERA in 17.2 career innings at Coors Field.

⚾The Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

⚾The Diamondbacks are 1-10 in Kelly’s last 11 starts vs. National League West.

⚾The Rockies are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Colorado.

The Bookie: Rockies

MLB Picks & Analysis for 7/1
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