MLB Picks & Analysis for 6/21

EMAILED ON June 21, 2022

MLB Picks & Analysis for 6/21

8:05 PM Philadelphia Phillies @ Texas Rangers

: +100
: -110
: 8

The Phillies just won 4 of 5 games in a series against the Washington Nationals and now head to Texas for a 2-game series against the Rangers. The Phillies are one of the hottest teams in baseball winning 14 of the last 17 games since Rob Thomson replaced Joe Girardi as manager. The Rangers will be starting left-hander Martin Perez (4-2, 2.10 ERA) and the Phillies counter with right-hander Kyle Gibson (4-2, 4.04). Perez’s ERA is 6th best in baseball and 4th in the American League. In 7 home starts, he is 3-2 with a 2.45 ERA. Against the Phillies, Perez is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA in 7 appearances. The Phillies, Gibson has plenty of familiarity with the Rangers since he was with Texas in 2020 and part of 2021, where he had an 8-9 record and a 3.79 ERA over 31 starts. In his career, Gibson has made 7 starts against the Rangers, going 2-1 with a 3.08 ERA.

⚾Bryce Harper did not play the previous 2 games and could be out for this one as well.

⚾The Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.

⚾The Phillies are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.

⚾The Phillies are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings.

The Bookie: Rangers

8:10 PM New York Mets @ Houston Astros

Mets: +115
: -125
: 9

The Astros right-hander Jose Urquidy (5-3, 4.99 ERA) has the starting assignment today after going 3-0 with a 3.45 ERA over a 6-start span during which Houston went 5-1, Urquidy is 1-2 with a 6.43 ERA and .938 opponent OPS over his last 4 starts with as many strikeouts as runs allowed (17 each). This will be the first career appearance against the Mets for Urquidy. The Mets are going with right-hander Trevor Williams (1-3, 3.53 ERA) for the series opener and he is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 5 starts this season. His previous start came against the Dodgers on June 5, when he allowed 2 runs on 6 hits with 5 strikeouts over 5 innings in the Mets’ 5-4 victory. Williams has faced the Astros once previously, allowing 4 runs on 8 hits with 4 strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 loss in 2019.

⚾The Astros are 4-0 in Urquidy’s last 4 Tuesday starts.

⚾The Astros are 11-1 in Urquidy’s last 12 starts during game 1 of a series.

⚾The Mets are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

⚾The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

The Bookie: Astros

MLB Picks & Analysis for 6/21
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