MLB & NCAAF Picks and Analysis for 9/30

EMAILED ON September 30, 2022

MLB & NCAAF Picks and Analysis for 9/30

⚾ MLB Betting

7:20 PM New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

: -120
: +110
: 6.5

The National League East could be decided in Atlanta this weekend when the Mets visit the Braves in the opener of a 3-game series. The Mets (98-58) are one game ahead of the Braves (97-59). The Mets will be putting right-hander Jacob deGrom (5-3, 2.93 ERA) on the bump to face the Braves’ left-hander Max Fried (13-7, 2.50). DeGrom had his worst start in more than three years in his last start, when he took the loss after allowing 5 runs over 4 innings as the Mets fell to the Oakland Athletics. It was the first time deGrom allowed more than 3 earned runs in a start since Sept. 3, 2019. Max Fried had a loss as well in his most recent start, when he gave up 1 run over 5 innings as the Braves lost to the Philadelphia Phillies, 1-0. DeGrom is 10-8 with a 2.08 ERA in 27 career starts against the Braves. Fried is 6-5 with a 2.84 ERA in 20 games against the Mets.

The Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day.

The Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

The Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series.

The Braves are 39-12 in their last 51 home games.

The Bookie: Braves +110

🏈 NCAAF Betting

10:30 PM Washington Huskies @ UCLA Bruins

Huskies: -3
: +3
: 64.5

The UCLA Bruins are 4-0 for the first time since 2015 as they begin a rugged stretch of Pac-12 contenders. The Washington Huskies are #5 in the nation in offense at nearly 531 yards per game. The Huskies have scored an average of 44 points in each of their wins. Washington beat Stanford 40-22 last week in the Pac-12 opener as Huskies quarterback Michael Penix Jr. completed 22 of 37 passes for 309 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Bruins are ranked 20th with a 41.8 points per game scoring average. The Bruins are also among the nation’s top 25 defenses in sack creation with 11 total.

🏈The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

🏈The Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games.

🏈The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

🏈The Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

The Bookie: UCLA +3


MLB & NCAAF Picks and Analysis for 9/30
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