MLB 2021 Record

Sides:  20-6 =  +16.48 Units
Totals:  13-13 =  -0.96 Units
Combined:   33-19 = +15.52 Units

GAME:  #905 Marlins @ #906 Nats
DATE:     4/30/2021 – 7:05p EST
ODDS:   Marlins -125 / Nats +116
O/U:       8 -105 / -115

The Washington Nationals (9-12) host the Miami Marlins (11-13) at Nationals Park on Friday at 7:05 pm EST. The Nats have Jon Lester making his debut today facing the Marlins righty Pablo Lopez (0-2, 2.93 ERA). The Nationals have won 2 of the last 5 coming off a series split with the Blue Jays. The Marlins won 2 of 3 in a series against Milwaukee. 

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MIAMI

• Over is 3-0-1 in Lopez’s last 4 Friday starts.
• The Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League East.
• Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• The Over is 4-0 in Lopez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 5-0-1 in Lopez’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

WASHINGTON

• Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games following a win.
• Under is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as an underdog.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
• Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
• The Marlins are 19-53 in the last 72 meetings in Washington.
• The Marlins are 16-40 in the last 56 meetings.

MARLINS VS NATIONALS PREDICTION

The Nats have Lester making a debut and not even he’s happy about it. He just sold his house in Chicago yesterday and told the Cubbies that he would have taken less money to stay there. The Marlins also love to feast off Lester with Cooper, Aguilar, Berti, and Sierra all hitting well over .300 against him. Miami also hits lefties better than righties this season while the Nats struggle with righties. Look for the Marlins to capitalize off  Lester today. 

The Bookie:         Marlins -125 / Over 8 -105 (Listed Pitchers)
Fade the Public:   Marlins / Under
Sharp Action:       Marlins / Over 

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