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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON June 29, 2021

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

2021 MLB Record 

Sides:  49-33 =  +20.13 Units
Totals:  40-39  =  -1.21 Units
Combined:   89-72 = +18.92 Units

GAME:   #901 Marlins @ #902 Phillies
DATE:     6/29/2021 – 7:05p EST
ODDS:    Miami -107 / Phillies -101
O/U:        8.5 -110 / -110

The Philadelphia Phillies (36-40) host the Miami Marlins (33-44) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday at 7:05 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MIAMI

  • The Under is 4-0 in Rogers’ last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Marlins are 0-5 in Rogers’ last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • The Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

PHILADELPHIA

  • Under is 4-0 in Velasquez’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
  • Under is 9-1-1 in Velasquez’s last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • The Marlins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • The Marlins are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

 

MARLINS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION

The Marlins opened as -120 favorites with the public backing the line has moved the wrong way indicating sharp money with the reverse line moves. The Phillies led the Reds yesterday for most of the game until the late innings and bullpen blew another game. The Phillies went from leading 4-2 to losing 12-4. This is the type of loss that will get a team going. The Phillies are 5-0 as an underdog behind Vince Velasquez when he went fewer than 5 innings in his previous start. Typically when a pitcher has a short outing the next game you will see him focused.  The Phillies are tough to back for a full game but this is a game the offense should get going. If you don’t want to trust the bullpen you can always take the First 5 innings play. Considering both of these teams’ bullpens are mediocre there is a better chance we will see the over come in today. 

The Bookie:          Phillies -101 / Over 8.5 -110
Fade the Public Phillies / Under
Sharp Action:       Phillies / Over

 

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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction
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