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Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON June 7, 2021

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox – MLB Baseball Prediction

2021 MLB Record 

Sides:  38-24 =  +16.11 Units
Totals:  31-30  =  -0.91  Units
Combined:   69-54 = +15.2 Units

GAME:   #905 Marlins @ #906 Red Sox
DATE:     6/7/2021 – 5:10p EST
ODDS:    Marlins +1.5 -150 / Red Sox -1.5 +130
O/U:        9.5 +100 / -115

The Boston Red Sox (36-23) hosts the Miami Marlins (25-33) at Fenway Park on Monday at 5:10 pm EST. This is a make up game from a game that was postponed in May. The Red Sox are coming off a 3 game series sweep against the Yankees and the Marlins just got their first win in the last 9 games against the Pirates in a 4 game series. The Marlins have righty P. Lopez (1-3, 2.82 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) getting the start against the Red Sox righty N. Pivetta (6-1, 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP)

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MIAMI

  • The Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
  • The Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
  • Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games.
  • Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.

BOSTON

  • Under is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-0 in the Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in Pivetta’s last 4 starts as a favorite.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • The Marlins are 2-14 in the last 16 meetings in Boston.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • The Marlins are 6-20 in the last 26 meetings.

 


MARLINS VS RED SOX PREDICTION

The Marlins righty Lopez was scratched this morning and they will be going with a bullpen day. The Marlins bullpen has underperformed this season ranking #24 with a 3.86 ERA. The wind is blowing out which often leads to more home runs and a higher scoring game which will benefit the Red Sox since they are the 9th best offense who score the 5th most runs in baseball. The Rex Sox have won 4 straight and 7 of the last 10 games. In the last 3 games against a tough Yankee pitching staff, Boston put up 18 runs while the Marlins are ranked #26 in runs scored have averaged only 3 runs per game in the last 10 games. Look for Boston to take advantage of the Marlins bullpen and the wind to get the win. 

 

The Bookie:          Red Sox -1.5 +130 / Over 9.5 +100
Fade the Public Marlins / Over
Sharp Action:       Marlins / Over

Wager: 1 Unit to Win 1.3 Units on the Red Sox to win by 2+.
Wager: 1 Unit to Win 1 Unit on the Over.  

 

 

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Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox – MLB Baseball Prediction
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