7:00 p.m. ET: LSU Tigers (15-2) at Alabama Crimson Tide (11-6)

Spread: Alabama -3.5
Total: 150.5

SEC rivals, Alabama and #13 LSU will battle in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide have gone 7-1 in home games. Alabama is third in the SEC in rebounding with 37.3 rebounds. The Tigers have gone 3-2 against SEC opponents. LSU ranks 8th in college basketball allowing only 57 points per game while holding opponents to 35.4% shooting. LSU (15-2 SU, 13-4 ATS) is ranked #13 in the country and looking to bounce back from a 65-58 loss to Arkansas, in which the Tigers lost outright as home favorites. Alabama (11-6 SU, 7-10 ATS) is unranked and has lost 3 straight, most recently falling to Mississippi State 78-76. LSU’s Pinson could be out again in this one and if he misses this game, Alabama would have a big backcourt edge. Look for LSU’s recent loss to carry over into this tough road game against a hungry Alabama team that needs a big win to get back into the discussions. This line opened with Alabama listed as a -2.5 home favorite. The public is jumping on LSU early but this line has gone up for Alabama (-2.5 to -3.5). This signals sharp contrarian reverse line movement on the Crimson Tide. Alabama has value as an unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Take Alabama to cover the spread in this one. 

Trends

• The Favorite is 20-6-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
  

The Bookie:          Alabama -3.5 / Over 150.5
Fade the Public:   Alabama / Under
Sharp Action:       Alabama/ Over