Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction – College Basketball Pick, Odds, & Analysis

EMAILED ON February 18, 2021

Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction – College Basketball Pick, Odds, & Analysis


GAME:  #739 Iowa vs #740 Wisconsin
TIME:    2/18/2021 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD:  Wisconsin -2
TOTAL:      145

The #11 Iowa Hawkeyes (15-6, 9-5) have a Big 10 road game against the #21 Wisconsin Badgers (15-7, 9-6) at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin on Thursday at 7 p.m. EST. The Hawkeyes pounded Michigan State 88-58 in its last game while the Badgers lost to Michigan 59-67 on Sunday. These teams met once last season in Iowa when the Hawkeyes won by a score of 68-62. Iowa will be looking to give Wisconsin it’s 5th straight loss to ranked opponents. 


This season on the road, the Iowa Hawkeyes are averaging 83 points on 46% field goal shooting along with 10.1 3-pointers on 42% three-point shooting and 9.7 offensive rebounds per game.  The Hawkeyes are allowing 74 points per game on 42% field-goal shooting while forcing 10 turnovers and adding 5.4 steals and 3.4 blocks per game on the defensive end. The Hawkeyes are led by Luka Garza who’s averaging 24.5 points, 8.4 rebounds, 1.8 assists, and 1.6 blocks per game.


The Wisconsin Badgers are averaging 73 points on 45% field goal shooting along with 8.6 threes on 40% three-point shooting per game. The Badgers are allowing only 60 points per game on 40% field goal shooting. The Badgers are forcing 11.6 turnovers while adding 3.9 steals and 3.9 blocks per game on defense. Wisconsin is led by D’Mitrik Trice who’s averaging 13.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and one steal per game.




  • Under is 5-0 in Hawkeyes last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 6-1 in Hawkeye’s last 7 Thursday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Hawkeye’s last 5 games following an ATS win.
  • Over is 7-2 in Hawkeye’s last 9 games following a win of more than 20 points.


  • Under is 3-0-1 in Badgers last 4 overall.
  • The Under is 6-0 in Badgers last 6 games following an ATS loss.
  • Under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Badgers are 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss.


  • Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.




The Wisconsin Badgers have been playing terribly lately, losing 5 of the last 10 games and 2 of the last 3. Iowa was also in a bad stretch but in the last few games have played well especially in the beatdown against Michigan State. The Hawkeyes have a fully loaded lineup that can score and the Badgers offense has been struggling averaging only 60 points per game over the last 3. This line opened with Iowa -1.5 but over the early morning hours it moved to Wisconsin -2 however the public is on Iowa and the spread the Sharps have been pounding the Wisconsin Moneyline causing reverse line movement. This game also could be a trap to get the public to move on the Badgers but The Bookie is not buying it. 

The Badgers will have a tough time on defense because the Iowa offense has recorded a turnover on only 13.2% of its possessions, which is the best rate in the nation. The Wisconsin defense has forced opposing teams to turn the ball over on just 17.8% of all possessions (ranked 271st among Division I teams). The Hawkeyes are the better team that has been playing much better basketball and Iowa should win this game. Wisconsin would need to play its best game of the season offensively and defensively while the Hawkeyes play one of its worst if they have any chance at all to get a win here. The Bookie is going with the better team to cover the spread and win the game with the Iowa Hawkeyes



The Bookie:         Iowa +2 / Over 145
Fade the PublicWisconsin / Under
Sharp Action:      Wisconsin / Under

Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction – College Basketball Pick, Odds, & Analysis
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