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Houston Astros vs Cleveland Indians – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON July 4, 2021

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Indians – MLB Baseball Prediction

GAME:   #967 Astros @ #968 Indians
DATE:     7/4/2021 – 1:10p EST
ODDS:    Astros -155 / Indians +145
O/U:        9 -110 / -110

The Cleveland Indians (42-38) host the Houston Astros (51-33) at Progressive Field on Sunday at 1:10 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

HOUSTON

  • Under is 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
  • Over is 8-0 in Greinke’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 7-0 in Greinke’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

CLEVELAND

  • Over is 4-0-1 in Quantrill’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Quantrill’s last 5 starts overall.
  • Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
  • Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • The Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
  • The Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland.

 


ASTROS VS INDIANS PREDICTION

The Astros opened at -165 faves and the line has dropped all the way to -140 at some books. The public is pounding the Astros but this reverse line movement is indicating the sharps are on the Indians today. The Indians have 12 hits in 47 at-bats with a .255 team batting average. Rosario, Hernandez, and J. Ramirez all have over .300 average against the familiar Greinke. The Astros bullpen has been terrible as of late with a 7.66 ERA in the last 5 games. The Indians should be able to get to Greinke and take advantage of the bullpen today.


The Bookie:          Indians +145 / Over 9 -110
Fade the Public Indians / Over
Sharp Action:       Indians / Over

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Indians – MLB Baseball Prediction
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