Game: (665) Furman (4-0) vs. (666) Alabama (1-2)
Time: Tues. 11/19 8:00 PM EST at Coleman Coliseum
Spread: Alabama -3
Total: 151
Odds from: 5Dimes Sportsbook
The undefeated Furman Paladan’s head to Tuscaloosa to match up against the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Crimson Time lost their last game on the road to a tough Rhode Island squad by the score of 79-93. Furman won their last game against Southern Wesleyan easily with a score of, 83-61.
FURMAN PALADINS
Furman averages 82 PPG and gives up only 57 PPG. They are shooting 52% from the field giving up only 42% to their opponents. They are shooting 34% from 3 point land. Furman averages only 10 turnovers per game. They come in at # 70 in the latest Kenpom rankings. Junior forward Clay Mounce leads in scoring with 15.5 points. He is one of four players averaging double figures scoring for Furman. Slawson lead in rebounds (6.5) and shooting percentage (69.6 percent). The Paladins are ranked 7th in the CollegeInsiders.com Mid Major Top 25.
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE
Alabama is averaging 79 PPG and giving up an average of 77 PPG. They are shooting at only 41% while giving up an average of 42% in shooting to their opponents this year. They are shooting only 28% from 3 point land. Alabama is averaging over 12 offensive rebounds per game which helps get easy 2nd chance buckets to make up for their poor FG%. Alabama is struggling with handling the ball with an average of 18 Turnovers per game. The key to Alabama’s offense is 6’3” guard Kira Lewis Lr, who is averaging 22 PPG and 5 assists. Alabama is defending the 3 pointer well-keeping opponents to less than 27% from 3 point land. This will help the high scoring Furman team that can shoot the 3 ball well.
SUMMARY
Alabama is a team of mostly guards that like to run and shoot the ball. Furman can also put up a lot of points as they are averaging 82 per game. This type of gameplay can lead to some big scoring wins and bad shooting night type of losses when the ball isn’t falling. This has the potential to be a sloppy game for the Alabama offense. Since last season, Alabama ranks 272nd in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.1 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Furman has forced the 48th-most turnovers in the NCAA (21.4 percent)
Alabama’s guard James Bolden is listed as questionable as well. This spread will be tough for Alabama to cover against an experienced Furman team that is playing well with their 4 returning starters who are off to a hot start. This Furman team plays good defense that should be able to keep them from scoring 80 points, but if Alabama’s can have a great shooting night and stop Furman’s offense they could have a shot.
TRENDS
FURMAN:
- FUR are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Under is 7-2 in FUR last 9 vs. Southeastern.
- Under is 16-5 in FUR last 21 road games.
- Furman is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
- The UNDER has cashed in 7 of the Paladins last 9 versus the SEC
ALABAMA:
- Over is 11-3 in ALA last 14 non-conference games.
- Under is 11-4 in ALA last 15 overall.
- Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 on Tuesday
- The OVER has cashed in 11 of the Tide’s last 14 non-SEC games
Data Analysis: Furman +3 / Under 151
Fade the Public: Furman +3 / Under 151
Sharp Action: no data / no data