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Florida vs Missouri Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

EMAILED ON January 11, 2020

Florida vs Missouri Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

florida-missouri

GAME:  #787 Florida vs #788 Missouri   
TIME:    1/11/2020 – 8:30p EST
SPREAD:   Florida -3
TOTAL:      129
SPORTSBOOK:  5Dimes Sportsbook 

The Florida Gators (10-4, 2-0) head out on the road for SEC conference play against the Missouri Tigers (8-6, 0-2) at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri on Saturday at 8:30 p.m. EST. Florida beat South Carolina by 13 on the road in its last outing while the Tigers lost 69-59 loss at home against Tennessee in its most recent game. Last season these teams met once with Florida winning 64-60 on their home court however both of these teams have a lot of new faces this season. 

FLORIDA GATORS

The Florida Gators are averaging 73 points per game on 44% field goal shooting along with 9.6 offensive rebounds per game. The Gators are allowing only 65 points per game on 39% field-goal shooting and allowing only 29% from three-point land on the defensive end. The Gators are forcing 13.4 turnovers while adding 5.5 steals and 2.8 blocks per game on defense. Florida is led by Kerry Blackshear Jr. who has averaged 14.6 points and 8.7 rebounds while Keyontae Johnson has put up 13.4 points and 6.9 rebounds.

MISSOURI TIGERS

The Missouri Tigers are averaging 66 points per game on 42% field goal shooting while grabbing 9 offensive rebounds per game however struggling with handling the ball committing 14.4 turnovers per game which will give the Gators a huge advantage on the defensive end. The Tigers are allowing only 57 points per game on 37% field goal shooting while forcing 15.9 turnovers and adding 5.6 steals and 3.1 blocks per game. Missouri’s Dru Smith has averaged 11.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 4.2 assists while Mark Smith has put up 11.1 points and 4.7 rebounds.

FLORIDA vs MISSOURI PREDICTION

The Florida Gators will have a tough road game here as this matchup is always a close one. Their last two games being decided by four points and two points. Both of these teams are defensive teams but they both have the ability to put up some points. Missouri is 0-6 this year when it allows 63 points or more and 8-0 when holding opponents to fewer than 63. Missouri has held opposing teams to 57.7 points per game this season which is the 6th best among all Division I teams, mostly against weak competition and with the Gators averaging 73 points per game, Florida should be able to come out on top. Look for this game to start off slow in the first half and finish strong offensively with the Gators covering the spread. 

TRENDS(from covers.com)

FLORIDA

  • Over is 4-0 in Gators last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 8-1 in Gators last 9 overall.
  • Over is 7-1 in Gators last 8 games as a favorite.

MISSOURI

  • Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Under is 9-2 in Tigers last 11 home games.
  • Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

BETTING ANGLES:

Bookie Analysis:  Florida -3 / Over 129
Fade the Public:   Florida -3 / no data
Sharp Action:       Florida -3/ no data

Bet This Game at 5dimes 

Florida vs Missouri Prediction & Analysis Sports Betting College Basketball

Florida vs Missouri Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball
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