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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON July 30, 2021

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets – MLB Baseball Prediction

mets

GAME:   #905 Reds @ #906 Mets
DATE:     7/30/2021 – 7:10 p EST
ODDS:    Reds +125 / Mets -135
O/U:        8 -105 / -115

The New York Mets (54-47) host the Cincinnati Reds (54-49) at Citi Field on Friday at 7:10 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER  (dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

CINCINNATI

  • Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 overall.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

NEW YORK

  • The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
  • Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
  • Under is 7-1 in Mets’ last 8 Friday games.
  • Under is 6-1 in Mets’ last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • The Reds are 4-13 in the last 17 meetings in New York.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
  • The Reds are 10-27 in the last 37 meetings.

 

REDS  VS METS PREDICTION

The Mets opened at -110 and have gone up to -135 despite the public jumping all over the hot Reds team. Sonny Gray was crushed for eight runs over 3 1/3 innings in his last loss to the Cardinals. Gray has been trending downward over the last month. Gray has given up 13 runs across eight innings over his last two starts. The Reds will also be without Castellanos in this game. The Reds offense has been winning games but their bullpen has been bad.  Carrasco has looked good in his rehab starts, so we will see if it translates over to the Major League level. The Mets also return Michael Conforto and Jeff McNeil. The Mets have the offense and the pitching and with the sharps pounding the Mets there is a good indication the Mets will get the win here.

The Bookie:          Mets  -135 / Over 8 -105
Fade the Public Mets  / Over
Sharp Action:       Mets  / Over

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets – MLB Baseball Prediction
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