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Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON May 10, 2021

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles – MLB Baseball Prediction

MLB 2021 Record 

Sides:  24-12 =  +13.52 Units
Totals:  19-17  =  +0.74  Units
Combined:   43-29 = +14.26 Units

GAME:  #907 Red Sox @ #908 Orioles
DATE:     5/10/2021 – 7:05p EST
ODDS:   Red Sex -138 / Orioles +128
O/U:       9 -119 / -101

The Baltimore Orioles (15-19) host the Boston Red Sox (22-13) at Camden Yards on Monday at 7:05 pm EST. The Red Sox won the first 3 games in this 4-game series. The Red Sox have lefty M. Perez (0-2, 4.40 ERA, 1.47 WHIP) facing the Orioles righty J. Lopez (1-3, 6.49 ERA, 1.37 WHIP). 

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

BOSTON

  • Over is 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
  • Under is 5-0 in Perez’s last 5 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.

BALTIMORE

  • Under is 4-0 in Lopez’s last 4 starts as an underdog.
  • Under is 7-0 in Orioles last 7 during game 4 of a series.
  • Under is 4-0 in Lopez’s last 4 starts on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Lopez’s last 4 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
  • The Red Sox are 37-14 in the last 51 meetings in Baltimore.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • The Red Sox are 42-18 in the last 60 meetings.

 

RED SOX VS ORIOLES PREDICTION

The Red Sox are red hot right now which is tough to go against but 2 of the 3 wins against Baltimore were comeback wins after being down early. The public is pounding the Red Sox but the line has reverse movement indicating the Sharps are pounding the Orioles. One of the reasons is the weather is expected to be windy and cold. This weather will give the advantage to pitching and with the Red Sox already winning 3, the team that will be more motivated to play hard despite the bad weather will be the Orioles. Baltimore has a team career batting average of .350 against Boston’s Perez with 21 hits in 60 at-bats. There is good value on Baltimore in this spot with the + money. Look for this game to go Under the total with the Orioles getting the win. 

The Bookie:          Orioles +128 / Under 9 -101 (Listed Pitchers)
Fade the Public Orioles / Under
Sharp Action:       Orioles / Under

 

 

 

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Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles – MLB Baseball Prediction
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