#8 Florida State vs #7 Duke Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

EMAILED ON February 10, 2020

#8 Florida State vs #7 Duke Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball


GAME:  #865 Florida State vs #866 Duke     
TIME:    2/10/2020 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD:   Duke -8
TOTAL:      149
SPORTSBOOK:  WagerWeb Sportsbook

The #8 Florida State Seminoles (20-3, 10-2) have a tough ACC road game against the #7 Duke Blue Devils (20-3, 10-2) at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina on Monday at 7 p.m. EST. Florida State won 99-81 at home against Miami in its last outing while Duke had a big come-back Over Time win at North Carolina by a score of 98-96. These teams met twice last season with Duke winning both games by scores of 78-80 at FSU and 73-63 at Duke. Duke will be looking for their sixth straight conference win against Florida State.


The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 75 points per game on 46% field goal shooting while averaging 7.8 three-pointers and 9.5 offensive rebounds per game. Florida State is allowing 64 points per game on 40% field-goal shooting while forcing 17.4 turnovers and adding 5.3 steals and 2.7 blocks on the defensive end.  Florida State is led by Devin Vassell, who is averaging 13.5 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. 


The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 83 points per game on 48% field-goal shooting while adding seven three-pointers and 11.6 offensive rebounds per game.  Duke is allowing 66 points per game on 41% field-goal shooting while forcing 16.2 turnovers and adding 7.2 steals and 3.7 blocks per game.  The Blue Devils are led by Vernon Carey jr. who’s averaging 17.8 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game along with Tre Jones who’s adding 15.8 points it’s 6.6 assists per game. Tre Jones has either made or assisted on 42% of all Duke field goals over the last three games. 


Duke is 18-0 when their defense holds opponents to a field goal percentage of 48% or less.  Duke has held Florida State to an average of 36% Field Goal percentage in their 2 most recent contests. The public is anticipating a big let down game for Duke after the emotional win over North Carolina on Saturday, however, this line is holding strong around 8 or more at most sportsbooks.  When the public is pounding one side there should be line movement that correlates unless of course, the money is on the other side. Florida State looks to be an easy pick but Duke will continue to roll tonight, picking up where they left off on Saturday.  Look for Duke to cover this spread by keeping Florida State’s offensive numbers below their season average. 

TRENDS(from covers.com)


  • Over is 5-0 in Seminoles last 5 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Seminoles last 6 overall.


  • Over is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games as a home favorite.


  • Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


Bookie Analysis:  Duke -8 / Under 149
Fade the Public:   Duke -8 / Under 149
Sharp Action:       no data / no data

Bet This Game at WagerWeb 

#8 Florida State vs #7 Duke Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

#8 Florida State vs #7 Duke Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball
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