#13 Penn State vs Purdue Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

EMAILED ON February 11, 2020

#13 Penn State vs Purdue Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

penn state vs purdue prediction

GAME:  #601 Penn State vs #602 Purdue    
TIME:    2/11/2020 – 6:30p EST
SPREAD:   Purdue -5
TOTAL:      135
SPORTSBOOK:  BetOnline.ag

The #13 Penn State Nittany Lions (18-5) have a tough BIG TEN conference road game against the red hot Purdue Boilermakers (14-10) at the Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pennsylvania on Tuesday at 6:30 pm EST. In their previous game, Penn State beat Minnesota by a score of 83-77 while Purdue had a road win at Indiana by a score of 74-62. These teams met twice last season with Purdue winning both games by scores of 90-99 and 76-64. 


The #13 Penn State Nittany Lions are averaging 77 points per game on 44% field-goal shooting while adding 7.9 three-pointers and 9.8 offensive rebounds per game while turning the ball over only 11 times per game.  Penn State is allowing 67 points per game on 39% field-goal shooting while forcing 14.3 turnovers and adding 5.5 steals and 3 blocks per game.  The Nittany Lions are led by Lamar Stevens who’s averaging 17.6 points and 7 rebounds along with Mike Watkins who is adding 9.6 points 7.9 rebounds and 2.7 blocks per game. Myreon Jones is listed as questionable due to illness but their guard who averages 14 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists is with the team and he should be ready to play tonight according to resources. 


The Purdue Boilermakers are averaging 69 points per game on 42% field goal shooting averaging 7.8 three-pointers and 10.7 offensive rebounds per game.  Purdue is allowing only 60 points per game on 40% field goal shooting while forcing 14.1 turnovers and adding 4.9 steals and 3.8 blocks per game. Purdue is led by Trevion Williams who is averaging 11.3 game 7.3 rebounds.


Purdue has had a few really good games lately after a big win against an unprepared Iowa team and another win over a weak overrated Indiana team, Purdue is getting a lot of love from the bookmakers however Penn State has a strong offense that is much more consistent than Purdue who scores anywhere in the range of 50-70 points depending on which team shows up. Look for the over in this game as Purdue has changed their starting lineup in recent games which is why they have been scoring more points offensively. However, look for the consistent Penn State team to keep it close as they should be able to cover this spread in a high scoring game with a possibility of an upset on the road to win this game outright. 

TRENDS(from covers.com)


  • Nittany Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.


  • Over is 5-0 in Boilermakers last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 home games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Boilermakers last 6 overall.


  • Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Bookie Analysis:  Penn St +5 / Over 135
Fade the Public:   Purdue -5 / Under 135
Sharp Action:       Penn St +5 / no data

Bet This Game at BetOnline.ag 

#13 Penn State vs Purdue Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball

#13 Penn State vs Purdue Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball
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