GAME: #645 Louisville vs #646 Virginia
TIME: 3/7/2020 – 4:00p EST
SPREAD: Virginia -1
TOTAL: 115
SPORTSBOOK: 5Dimes Sportsbook
The #10 Louisville Cardinals (24-6, 15-4) have a tough ACC road game against the #22 Virginia Cavaliers (22-7, 14-5) at the John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia on Saturday at 4 p.m. EST. In its previous game, Louisville beat Virginia Tech 68-52 while Virginia barely beat Miami 46-44 on the road. These teams met Feb. 8, when Louisville won on their home court by a score of 80-73. Louisville is 2-3 vs. ranked opponents this season, while Virginia has won 3 of 5 games against ranked teams.
LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 74 points on 45% field goal shooting adding 8.23, 10.1 offensive rebounds, and turning the ball over only 12.1 times per game on the offensive end. Louisville is allowing 63 points per game on 38% field goal shooting while forcing 11.9 turnovers and adding 6 steals and 3.2 blocks per game on the defensive end. The Cardinals are led by Jordan Nwora who’s averaging 18 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game.
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS
The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 57 points on 41% field goal shooting adding 5.7 threes, 6.9 offensive rebounds, and 12.4 turnovers per game on the offensive end. The Cavaliers are allowing only 52 points per game on 36% field-goal shooting while forcing 11.7 turnovers and adding 6.8 steals and 2.7 blocks per game on the defensive end. Virginia is led by Mamadi Diakite who is averaging 13.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks per game.
LOUISVILLE vs VIRGINIA PREDICTION
Louisville has lost its last 3 games on the road while scoring 62.3 points and allowing 74.3 points in those contests. Virginia has won its last 5 home games, scoring an average of 58 points while allowing 52.8 points. Also, Virginia has held opposing teams to 52.3 points per game this season, the lowest figure among all Division I teams. Louisville is a perfect 18-0 when it scores at least 71 points. The Cardinals are 6-6 when scoring any fewer than 71. Look for Virginia to slow this game down as much as they can to prevent Louisville from going on a scoring run, similar to what they did against Duke a week ago. However, Louisville is a much more consistent scoring team especially with Jordan Nwora who can be relied on to score at will, especially in tight situations. Look for Louisville to show up to play today to get the big win on the road in a low scoring game.
TRENDS(from covers.com)
LOUISVILLE
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record.
VIRGINIA
- Over is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 Saturday games.
SPORTS BETTING ANGLES:
Bookie Picks: Louisville +1 / Under 115
Fade the Public: no data / Under 115
Sharp Action: no data / no data
#10 Louisville vs #22 Virginia Prediction Pick & Analysis – College Basketball